Files
Vitaliy Filippov 4a2dcf7b6b Update the license to VNPL 1.1
VNPL 1.1 is slightly reworded to make it clear that proprietary software
interacting with Vitastor and providing some kind of service to end users isn't
a "Proxy Program" if it's not specially designed to be used with Vitastor.

For example, Windows OS running in a virtual machine stored in a Vitastor
cluster clearly isn't.
2021-02-25 23:55:33 +03:00

90 lines
3.8 KiB
JavaScript

// Functions to calculate Annualized Failure Rate of your cluster
// if you know AFR of your drives, number of drives, expected rebalance time
// and replication factor
// License: VNPL-1.1 (see https://yourcmc.ru/git/vitalif/vitastor/src/branch/master/README.md for details) or AGPL-3.0
// Author: Vitaliy Filippov, 2020+
module.exports = {
cluster_afr_fullmesh,
failure_rate_fullmesh,
cluster_afr,
c_n_k,
};
/******** "FULL MESH": ASSUME EACH OSD COMMUNICATES WITH ALL OTHER OSDS ********/
// Estimate AFR of the cluster
// n - number of drives
// afr - annualized failure rate of a single drive
// l - expected rebalance time in days after a single drive failure
// k - replication factor / number of drives that must fail at the same time for the cluster to fail
function cluster_afr_fullmesh(n, afr, l, k)
{
return 1 - (1 - afr * failure_rate_fullmesh(n-(k-1), afr*l/365, k-1)) ** (n-(k-1));
}
// Probability of at least <f> failures in a cluster with <n> drives with AFR=<a>
function failure_rate_fullmesh(n, a, f)
{
if (f <= 0)
{
return (1-a)**n;
}
let p = 1;
for (let i = 0; i < f; i++)
{
p -= c_n_k(n, i) * (1-a)**(n-i) * a**i;
}
return p;
}
/******** PGS: EACH OSD ONLY COMMUNICATES WITH <pgs> OTHER OSDs ********/
// <n> hosts of <m> drives of <capacity> GB, each able to backfill at <speed> GB/s,
// <k> replicas, <pgs> unique peer PGs per OSD (~50 for 100 PG-per-OSD in a big cluster)
//
// For each of n*m drives: P(drive fails in a year) * P(any of its peers fail in <l*365> next days).
// More peers per OSD increase rebalance speed (more drives work together to resilver) if you
// let them finish rebalance BEFORE replacing the failed drive (degraded_replacement=false).
// At the same time, more peers per OSD increase probability of any of them to fail!
// osd_rm=true means that failed OSDs' data is rebalanced over all other hosts,
// not over the same host as it's in Ceph by default (dead OSDs are marked 'out').
//
// Probability of all except one drives in a replica group to fail is (AFR^(k-1)).
// So with <x> PGs it becomes ~ (x * (AFR*L/365)^(k-1)). Interesting but reasonable consequence
// is that, with k=2, total failure rate doesn't depend on number of peers per OSD,
// because it gets increased linearly by increased number of peers to fail
// and decreased linearly by reduced rebalance time.
function cluster_afr({ n_hosts, n_drives, afr_drive, afr_host, capacity, speed, ec, ec_data, ec_parity, replicas, pgs = 1, osd_rm, degraded_replacement, down_out_interval = 600 })
{
const pg_size = (ec ? ec_data+ec_parity : replicas);
pgs = Math.min(pgs, (n_hosts-1)*n_drives/(pg_size-1));
const host_pgs = Math.min(pgs*n_drives, (n_hosts-1)*n_drives/(pg_size-1));
const resilver_disk = n_drives == 1 || osd_rm ? pgs : (n_drives-1);
const disk_heal_time = (down_out_interval + capacity/(degraded_replacement ? 1 : resilver_disk)/speed)/86400/365;
const host_heal_time = (down_out_interval + n_drives*capacity/pgs/speed)/86400/365;
const disk_heal_fail = ((afr_drive+afr_host/n_drives)*disk_heal_time);
const host_heal_fail = ((afr_drive+afr_host/n_drives)*host_heal_time);
const disk_pg_fail = ec
? failure_rate_fullmesh(ec_data+ec_parity-1, disk_heal_fail, ec_parity)
: disk_heal_fail**(replicas-1);
const host_pg_fail = ec
? failure_rate_fullmesh(ec_data+ec_parity-1, host_heal_fail, ec_parity)
: host_heal_fail**(replicas-1);
return 1 - ((1 - afr_drive * (1-(1-disk_pg_fail)**pgs)) ** (n_hosts*n_drives))
* ((1 - afr_host * (1-(1-host_pg_fail)**host_pgs)) ** n_hosts);
}
/******** UTILITY ********/
// Combination count
function c_n_k(n, k)
{
let r = 1;
for (let i = 0; i < k; i++)
{
r *= (n-i) / (i+1);
}
return r;
}